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Michael Clemens, Center for Global Development

November 28 @ 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm

Title: Immigration Restrictions as Active Labor Market Policy: Evidence from the Mexican Bracero Exclusion
Abstract: An important class of active labor market policy has received little impact evaluation: immigration barriers intended to raise wages and employment by shrinking labor supply. Theories of endogenous technical advance raise the possibility of limited or even perverse impact. We study a natural policy experiment: the exclusion of almost half a million Mexican bracero farm workers from the United States to improve farm labor market conditions. With novel labor market data we measure state-level exposure to exclusion and model the absent changes in technology or crop mix. We fail to reject zero labor market impact, inconsistent with this model.
*Co-sponsored with the Public Policy and Applied Social Sciences Seminar
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November 28
12:00 pm - 1:30 pm
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CCPR Seminar Room, 4240 Public Affairs Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, United States
5201 Sumner Ave United States